Unanswered Questions

1. We are into our seventh year with shortages of medical professionals, military personnel, and tradespeople.  Why has the federal government not attempted to correct this situation?  
2. Why has Ottawa deliberately made the housing market worse by increasing immigration to crazy levels when they know there is an acute shortage of affordable homes?  For the rest of this decade, they must cut back immigration to around 200,000 people annually until there is a stable population growth of 1%.
3. There is no argument that Canada has the best potential of any country in the world.  Why are we in a race to the bottom of the OECD economically and why does Trudeau and Freeland not care?
4. There are 6000 goods we depend on everyday that is made with oil. Since the Libs and NDP are determined to phase out this sector, what is going to replace this main ingredient in our day-to-day products? Do they expect us to import everything?
5. Why is Ottawa giving handouts to the EV industry when, according to the National Post, there are 250,000 small businesses on the brink of bankruptcy because they cannot afford to pay back the Covid loans they were forced to take due to mandated closures. Small business is responsible for 8.6 million jobs. Why did Trudeau spend $13 billion on VW when only 3,000 jobs will be created? He gave this money to a company that could pay for the project with less than a years’ profits. Accommodating small business would be more productive rather than slapping it in the face. 
6. Why is Trudeau purposely destroying our dollar? It is the government’s job to protect it.  A higher valued currency lowers inflation and taxes, attracts investment, and accommodates lower interest rates.  There is not one economy that has been hurt by a strong currency. Yet, Ottawa is working hard to make Canada a third world country, guaranteeing a $0.70 Loonie by the next election.
7. When are the Greens going to tell us what is going to replace CO2 with if they are successful at lowering it to levels where plant life reverses course?  Is photosynthesis no longer a necessity for life on earth?
8. Ottawa has forty cabinet ministers for thirty-nine cabinets. Why?  Most government do great with around ten.  Our ministers are clueless and rely on consultants to make laws for everything, something they were elected to do.  This is extremely expensive and almost everything consultants suggest is thrown in the dust bin by Trudeau. 
9. We live in a democratic country.  So why do we put up with a PM who controls his ministers and tries hard to silence the opposition?  There might even be one or two right leaning MP’s who has a brain, but they are threatened with losing their job. 
10. Ottawa refuses to tell us where all the money is going to come from for the Green Transition. Today it costs $20,000 per home to convert from natural gas to electricity. Will the homeowner be responsible for the cost?  
11. What is the purpose of the Carbon Tax when China and India send us their pollution via the Tradewinds?  Not surprising, since this destructive tax was enacted there has been no decrease in the amount of CO2 and no climate anomalies.
12. Why do the Liberals and NDP not learn about balancing books?  This alone will bring prosperity to all because it drives down taxes and increases disposable income which allows for savings. There is no excuse for discouraging saving. It is the backbone of every county.
13. How does a Prime Minister allow accusations of foreign involvement go unscrutinised? 
14. Why does Trudeau have no respect for our military?  He gave another $500m this month to Ukraine. This brings Canada’s total contributions to Ukraine since the war began to over $8 billion. Meanwhile, our soldiers must buy some of their own military equipment while on deployment and our veterans must beg for services. Why not fund our own military and offer peace keeping rather than killing?
15. In the last five months, our great leader has probably made a record for personal CO2 creation from his tax funded private aircraft. He spent May flying all over the world preaching his gospel of saving the planet.  He is a part of the exclusive club of climate alarmists who feel they should be excluded from lowering their own emissions. Should a Prime Minister not lead by example?

All we hear today is that interest rates are high.  In comparison with the past 3 years this is true.  But, based on records since 1954 they are in the normal range, between four-and- six percent, depending on what side of the transaction one is on. A risk-free rate of four-points provides savers a decent return on savings while banks can lend at 6%, a healthy two-percent spread.  These interest rates have served Canada well. Interest rates are not the main issue.

The biggest problem is Trudeau. He has put in place severe government regulations and higher taxes that must continue to cover his wasteful spending on our dime. Our tight regulations make permit applications last upwards of a decade and cost millions of dollars before shovels can break ground.  This is amongst the longest wait time in the world and makes us non-competitive.  The result is that we kiss goodbye trillions of foreign investments and encourage Canadians to invest outside of the country. Both started occurring once it became likely Trudeau would be voted in.

Countries around the world are developing their resources while we refuse to even though the world prefers ours.  If Trudeau was a true EV believer, he would have opened The Ring of Fire, a vast area located in Northern Ontario rich in the metals used in batteries.   This has been known since the fifties but there has never been a reason too until now. Yet these resources cannot be mined until a heavy-duty highway and airports are built which will take at least a decade because of current government regulations. 

The EV market is so baffling from an economic perspective.  The cars cost too much. They certainly do not result in less greenhouse gas once the supply chain is factored in, and it is a welfare business that survives on legislation, subsidies, and tax incentives.  Governments around the world are throwing gobs of money at the sector, even though they cannot afford to. These companies can very easily finance these projects themselves with cash, but they see no long-term investment. They would have already jumped into the market or bought out Tesla a decade ago if they did.  

Ottawa gave Volkswagen $13b that will be disbursed over 10 years and the Ontario government is also pitching in half a billion. The company made $29b(Cdn) in profits last year and are laughing all the way to the bank thanking Canadians for not putting their shareholders at risk.  These companies realize that EVs will not be around long because cleaner forms of energy based on existing infrastructure are being developed, like hydrogen. Governments are also giving consumers part of the purchase price because the cars are too expensive. The same bells and whistles can be had in an ICE for 30% less. There is no incentive to buy without the gift. This has been proven in every country that has cut these handouts.    

The market price of the metals used to make batteries have been in a freefall for the past two months.  The price of lithium is down 60% from one year ago.  Cobalt, nickel, and copper are down 55%, 28%, and 15%, respectively.  Given the falling cost of inputs, why are governments rushing to throw our money at these businesses?  When governments do this, you know the chances of survival are slim.  The EV is shaping up to be one of the biggest frauds put on taxpayers.  By next decade the world will have moved beyond the EV, just like they did in the 1850’s.

The transition from gasoline and diesel could be fatal for the economy because the two make up sixty percent of oil company revenues which shares in the cost of operations and investment. Once this is removed, the price of everything you touch which includes all construction, EV's, solar panels, and wind turbines will increase substantially because the lost revenue will be recovered further downstream in the more-refined markets in the form of higher prices. There are roughly 6000 products used daily that exists only because of oil.  People say these companies will just shrink or even shrivel away with a switch to EV’s, but the truth is our whole civilization relies on the resouce in some form or other and always will, meaning these companies are not going to disappear. Tampering with the current system is nothing but a recipe for disaster. 

The G7 is allowing unelected environmentalists such as the UN and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to run their countries.  These extremists only care about their paycheque which is earned by strangling the economy. Every country that has allowed this experienced a declining standard of living for the majority, like we are experiencing here in Canada today. Sacola’s view is that the climate change movement is based on politics and fantasy, not science. There is no denying that the climate is changing, but the earth is 4.5 billion years old and there is nothing occurring today that did not occur in the past. That is a fact. Governments falling for this trap have increased household expenses, have not changed the pace or form at which the climate is changing, and has made zero improvement to the economy. Much of Europe has realized this and are back to using more coal, nuclear, and natural gas.    

The earth is the greenest it has ever been since the last ice age. The world population has grown, and the average life span has increased every year since the use of oil.  The negative effects from oil on the environment and humans have clearly been minimal. The only fossil fuel environmentalists should be targeting is coal which China and India are building hundreds of plants  meant to last 80 years. Isn't it convenient that climate alarmists never talk about this? That is because when it comes to professional protestors and lobbyists, Canada and the other G7 nations are where the money is at.

“In Canada waiting times have reached an all-time high, with a median delay of half a year between referral and treatment”.

  ...The Economist (January 21^st)

The Premiers met with Justin in February to discuss Medicare. It appears as if nothing is going to be done to fix the issues.  The meeting proved they have no idea what is wrong with it. Their resolution was more money.  This helps but the issue is the management. Demand persistently outstrips supply in our health system and will increase for about 15 years while the largest demographic shift takes place.  The problem is as much systemic as it is money.

We need more trained professionals at every level of the medical system.  There has been an acute shortage of staff for years. Over the next 4 years many professionals will quit, retire, or move to another country where they are welcomed. This will persist until we allow more medical professionals to enter the system.  The only ‘expertise’ that seems to be growing is a bureaucracy with a horrible track record.  These people only want two things; create lots of useless paperwork (ask your doctor, if you have one) and more money to build a bigger bureaucracy. 

There are two simple changes that will result in instant benefits. The first is we must make it easier for medical professionals trained outside of Canada to enter our system. The second is to add seats at our universities and tech schools.  By the governments inaction it means there will be no new seats in September.  This staffing shortage is set to last until 2028 at the earliest, assuming more seats are available in 18 months time.

There are plenty of changes Trudeau could be making. One is to lower the size of the government. It is over-governing and wasting a fortune in the process. Most national governments have fewer than 15 departments/ministries and things get done in a reasonable time. We have 39 and many are overlapping. Trudeau likes to hand out these positions to make each of his puppets feel important.  This gives them courage to build a huge set of unproductive laws that hurt the consumer.

Trudeau has increased the number of federal employees by 30%, to 336,000, since he became PM. The average salary is $74k. This does not include benefits or the use of consultants. Provinces have followed Ottawa in this wasteful spending.  Cutting at least half of the government across Canada will save billions that can be used to repair the military, the education and medical system combined.  Using the federal government as an example,  slashing 25% of the employees will save at least $6.2b every year. But of course, there is zero leadership with common sense to do so. 

Sadly, we suggest everyone build up a medical savings account for private treatments available out of country at a fraction of the cost here.  Many are already going to Mexico and Eastern Europe for treatment.  Notice not one of our political leaders talk about this? 

They simply do not care.

Trudeau proved his climate extremism and lack of respect towards one of our allies again. He denied Japan access to our natural gas, just like he did to Germany. It is rumoured that South Korea is thinking of asking Trudeau for help as well. This will be his third strike against the global community if he turns it down. Germany and Japan have been valued trading partners for decades.  Now both countries will have little to do with Canada until we get a new government.

Trudeau’s belief that he can eliminate CO2 emissions by limiting our economy is a joke.  He wants to bring in 1.6 million immigrants over the next 3 years while lowering CO2 emissions. This is impossible to achieve. Growing a population increases the demand for new housing, more food, and more infrastructure, to name a few, which collectively increases CO2 in the atmosphere.  

Natural gas does create slightly more CO2 but not if you take into consideration that wind and solar power must be replaced every twenty years. This means more demand for mining, oil for manufacturing and transport. Some fossil fuel and nuclear plants today have been in operation since the seventies and are expected to last 90 years. We have no idea how long the hundreds being built today will last, but if innovation is successful the lifespan could have doubled. Time will tell.    

If the climate movement was sincere, it would be forcing the use of hydro and nuclear power and protesting China and India. But they don’t.  You never hear the Greens protesting the clearcutting of rain forests or push for planting more trees either. It is because they cannot profit from it. It is obvious environmentalists do not want to bite the hand that feeds them.  Thankfully Mother Nature is in control and made the planet the greenest it has ever been since the last ice age because the environmentalists are not effective. 

The world is awash in natural gas.  It is cheap, clean, and a main ingredient in most of the conveniences we enjoy today. It is a resource that has literally pulled people out of poverty throughout our history and continues to do so. No sensible and responsible government is going to leave this asset in the ground.  Doing so is a direct slap in the face of all taxpayers and their standard of living.  

Coal has 400 years’ worth of reserves and demand is soaring. Not only all over Asia and India, but Europe as well.  The war in Ukraine has reminded many countries of the importance of fossil fuel and how we took the wrong path trying to green our economy so quickly.  Even Prime Minister Arden of New Zealand (another phony Green), announced she will be buying more coal from Indonesia, even though they have their untapped natural gas reserves.  Demand for coal is so strong that Indonesia has moved up to third place in production.  It is expected they will become the world’s largest exporter within a decade. This will help them move further up the economic ladder while the climate alarmists will take us a step down.

Every successful country relies on cheap and reliable energy. Business demands it, and utilities can be one of the major costs for companies. Try and tell a technology or manufacturing company they must rely on intermittent energy only and see what they do. They will take their investment elsewhere because they need to produce the highest rate of revenue and hope for a decent return as quick as possible.  This can take over a decade for many sectors so increasing the cost of electricity and the risk of power outages is too much. 

Coal and natural gas use will increase, along with the standard of living in those countries that use it. Meanwhile, Canada's will decline because our cost of energy will continue to rise.  It needs to be pointed out that wind and solar are no longer price competitive with natural gas.  The price of it has fallen 69% since last September to below three dollars today. 

Trudeau has made Canada the laughingstock of the world by not exploiting opportunity. Prior to Trudeau, Canada was considered a world leader in clean energy development, which the world demanded and used. Trudeau wants this to end so business will look for opportunities elsewhere in the world. For decades Canada has been in the upper level for productivity and growth in the 38 member OCED.  Thanks to Trudeau, it is predicted that by 2030 Canada we will be dead last.  Yet Canada has the best prospects in the world. Once Justin is gone, we will be on of the fastest growing economies in the G7.  Be patient and do not stray from Canadian blue-chips with a great dividend record.

According to Justin, President Biden is making a big mistake.  Not too long-ago Justin told Germany’s Chancellor there is no business case to sell our natural gas to them. In December, Biden announced that the Americans will sell all their gas to Europe if needed. It is estimated that by the end of 2023 the U.S. can be the world’s biggest exporter of gas, passing Qatar. For the Americans it means tens of thousands of new jobs and billions of tax revenue, something that Justin believes we do not need. 

For decades to come, fossil fuels will be the backbone of the global economy. Demand for oil continues to grow so we should be taking advantage of it because someone else will. Sadly, Justin is determined to close this sector in the name of climate change. These policies do not work. Has he not noticed the attempt has failed miserably across Europe? He clearly hasn’t.  He makes it obvious that his time is spent focusing on the front of a mirror rather than what is happening around him. 

The Liberals are determined to make Canada run on electricity. Trudeau is calling for gas-powered cars and natural gas in homes to be eliminated by 2035.  He has not told us where the consumer is going to get the money to buy costlier cars and solar panels yet.  He also fails to mention who will pay for replacing all natural gas appliances and retrofit the homes to pure electricity. It is estimated that it will take until 2040 to replace the stoves and add panels on every home; only if the electrical infrastructure is in place and there are enough mines for the minerals. 

Every year since Justin became PM CO2 has increased and there has been no abnormal weather patters across the globe.  If you go back before the Industrial Revolution, which climate extremists refuse to do, there is little evidence that CO2 causes global warming. Specifically, there has also been periods of cooling during high levels of CO2. It also shows that that more ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere the healthier the planet was.  Today we are 440ppm, life begins to die at 150 ppm, and the average has been 1200ppm over the last half billion years.   

The Liberal’s mismanagement is going to cause our dollar to fall to around $0.70US.  This will increase our inflation and prevent lowering interest rates.  If Trudeau continues his destructive path, then a $0.65US is possible in 2024. This means interest rates will have to increase much further to support the dollar. The only good thing is that Trudeau realizes that he needs the energy sector to survive financially.  Without the revenue he would not last a month, unless he prorogues Parliament again (which cannot be ruled out), if he thinks the party is about to give him the boot.

The House of Commons must be cleaned out.  Not one Liberal cabinet minister can give a speech without it being approved by Trudeau.  He is on record saying he admires China’s method of governing and is trying very hard to implement it here. The NDP are sellouts.  They have zero principals and have been bought and paid for by Trudeau.  They will do as they are told for the rest of their term because many of them will receive their pension and keep their benefits. A responsible member of the NDP would do the honourable thing and resign their seat, run as a Liberal or sit as an independent. 

What an embarrassment Ottawa is.  Canada has the best prospects in the world. But for some reason the Liberal Party wants to destroy us.  It will be painful until the Liberals are gone. When they are gone the country will prosper and the Loonie will recover to pre-Trudeau levels which is between $0.85 and par with the U.S. dollar.   Our economy will grow exponentially once foreign money knows Trudeau is gone. Since he came to power, $2.4 trillion more investment left Canada than entered and our dollar’s trading range dropped 12%.

Keep a minimum of 60% of your portfolio in 1-year insured GIC’s for the next while, depending on your age.